The relationship between consumer price inflation and consumer confidence: The case of Sweden
2024 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE credits
Student thesis
Abstract [en]
With economic uncertainties on the rise, understanding the relationship between consumer price inflation and consumer confidence becomes increasingly vital. This thesis investigates the relationship between Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) and Consumer confidence, specifically within the context of Sweden. The relationship is examined through the Vector Autoregression (VAR) model, spanning from the period 2002 to 2023. Drawing upon existing literature and theoretical frameworks in economics and psychology, this research provides a deeper understanding of the relationship between the two variables. By incorporating data up to 2023, this thesis will also examine the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on the relationship between these key macroeconomic indicators. The results show statistically significant evidence that consumer price inflation predicts consumer confidence. Thus, we conclude that consumer price inflation plays a significant role in the dynamics of consumer confidence, influencing both economic conditions and expectations.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024. , p. 47
Keywords [en]
Consumer price inflation, Consumer confidence, Vector Autoregression (VAR), Sweden, Covid-19, Macroeconomic indicators.
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-64764OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-64764DiVA, id: diva2:1866922
Subject / course
JIBS, Economics
Presentation
2024-05-29, B4065, Gjuterigatan 5, 553 18 Jönköping, Jönköping, 11:30 (English)
Supervisors
Examiners
2024-06-142024-06-092025-10-13Bibliographically approved