Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Improving estimation precision through optimal designs and shrinkage methods
Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School, JIBS, Statistics. Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School, JIBS, Centre for Entrepreneurship and Spatial Economics (CEnSE).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4295-2574
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This thesis book brings together the research findings from four interconnected papers, each contributing to the field of statistical modeling and optimization. The central theme focuses on developing and comparing estimation strategies, optimization algorithms, gamma regression models, and estimation methods for high-dimensional data, showing a coherent progression of ideas and methodologies. The first paper focuses on the comparison of different optimization algorithms in constructing approximate optimal designs. It evaluates both gradient-based and gradient-free methods, including Multiplicative Algorithm, Simulated Annealing, and Nelder-Mead with the barrier method, across different models including, cubic model, quartic model, a practical chemistry model and models with two and three design variables. The study highlights the strengths and weaknesses of these methods through iteration and simulation under various scenarios, providing a comprehensive comparison of their performance. After constructing the optimal design, the focus transitions to strategies for estimating regression coefficients. The second and third papers address this by presenting improved estimation techniques for gamma regression models, which are crucial in areas such as life testing, cancer forecasting, and quality control. These papers introduce novel estimation methods, including Stein-type shrinkage estimators, preliminary test esti- mators, and penalty estimators like LASSO and Ridge Regression. The asymptotic distributional bias and asymptotic quadratic risk of the shrinkage estimators are derived analytically. The papers also explore the performance of the shrinkage estimators when it is suspected that the parameters may be restricted to a subspace of the parameter space. Comprehensive Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to evaluate the proposed estimators, revealing their superiority over traditional maximum likelihood estimators. The effectiveness of the proposed estimators is demonstrated in a real-world appli- cation involving prostate cancer data. The fourth paper extends the exploration to high-dimensional data, addressing the challenge of estimating regression coefficients in data envelopment analysis (DEA). It investigates the efficacy of LASSO, Elastic Net, Adaptive LASSO, and Ridge Regression estimators in the context of DEA. Through extensive simulation studies, the paper assesses these methods in terms of bias and mean squared error under various scenarios, including different levels of correlation among variables and sample sizes. The practical application of these methods is demonstrated using data from the Swedish electricity distribution sector. Collectively, these studies contribute to the advancement of statistical methodologies by offering robust optimization and estimation techniques applicable to a wide range of scientific and practical problems, from optimal design construction to efficiency analysis in high-dimensional settings.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Jönköping: Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School , 2024. , p. 19
Series
JIBS Dissertation Series, ISSN 1403-0470 ; 166
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-66502ISBN: 978-91-7914-046-5 (print)ISBN: 978-91-7914-047-2 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-66502DiVA, id: diva2:1909334
Public defence
2024-10-25, B1014, Jönköping International Business School, Jönköping, 13:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2024-10-30 Created: 2024-10-30 Last updated: 2025-10-13Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. A comparative study of some gradient based and gradient free methods for constructing optimal approximate designs
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A comparative study of some gradient based and gradient free methods for constructing optimal approximate designs
2024 (English)Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Owing to the widespread application of optimal designs, we are motivated to compare different methods of constructing optimum designs. In this regard, some optimization algorithms are considered to construct approximate optimal designs. Some of these methods are gradient based while some others are gradient free. The studied methods include a class of multiplicative algorithms, simulated annealing and Nelder-Mead with the barrier method. Optimization algorithms are explored through iterations for deterministic methods and simulations for stochastic methods, depending on the approach used. These algorithms are investigated across various models, including the quadratic model, cubic model, quartic model, a practical model in chemistry, and models with two and three design variables. A comprehensive behavioral analysis of optimization algorithms, focusing on iterative and simulative approaches, with key findings from these methods are highlighted. Additionally, the strengths and weaknesses of the methods are analyzed, and a comparison between them is performed. Based on our research, the multiplicative algorithm is the best choice if the gradient is available due to its faster and more accurate performance than Nelder-Mead and simulated annealing and ease of implementation. Gradient-free methods like Nelder-Mead and simulated annealing should be used if finding gradient is difficult or impossible. Although simulated annealing is slower and component-sensitive, it is more accurate. What makes one algorithm better than another depends on the needs of the optimization problem.

Keywords
Approximate designs, Gradient based algorithms, Gradient free algorithms, Comparison of optimization algorithms, Iteration, Monte-Carlo simulation
National Category
Computational Mathematics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-66498 (URN)
Conference
6th International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA 2024), August 19-21, 2024, Barcelona, Spain
Note

Received BEST PAPER AWARD in 6th International Conference on Statistics: Theory and Applications (ICSTA2024).

Available from: 2024-10-30 Created: 2024-10-30 Last updated: 2025-10-13Bibliographically approved
2. Stein-type shrinkage estimators in gamma regression model with application to prostate cancer data
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Stein-type shrinkage estimators in gamma regression model with application to prostate cancer data
2019 (English)In: Statistics in Medicine, ISSN 0277-6715, E-ISSN 1097-0258, Vol. 38, no 22, p. 4310-4322Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Gamma regression is applied in several areas such as life testing, forecasting cancer incidences, genomics, rainfall prediction, experimental designs, and quality control. Gamma regression models allow for a monotone and no constant hazard in survival models. Owing to the broad applicability of gamma regression, we propose some novel and improved methods to estimate the coefficients of gamma regression model. We combine the unrestricted maximum likelihood (ML) estimators and the estimators that are restricted by linear hypothesis, and we present Stein-type shrinkage estimators (SEs). We then develop an asymptotic theory for SEs and obtain their asymptotic quadratic risks. In addition, we conduct Monte Carlo simulations to study the performance of the estimators in terms of their simulated relative efficiencies. It is evident from our studies that the proposed SEs outperform the usual ML estimators. Furthermore, some tabular and graphical representations are given as proofs of our assertions. This study is finally ended by appraising the performance of our estimators for a real prostate cancer data. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2019
Keywords
asymptotic quadratic risk, gamma regression, positive-part Stein-type shrinkage estimator, prostate cancer, relative efficiency, Stein-type shrinkage estimator
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics Cancer and Oncology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-46491 (URN)10.1002/sim.8297 (DOI)000484974200011 ()31317564 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85069730847 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2019-10-07 Created: 2019-10-07 Last updated: 2025-10-13Bibliographically approved
3. A comparison of preliminary test, Stein-type and penalty estimators in gamma regression model
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A comparison of preliminary test, Stein-type and penalty estimators in gamma regression model
2020 (English)In: Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, ISSN 0094-9655, E-ISSN 1563-5163, Vol. 90, no 17, p. 3051-3079Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Owing to the broad applicability of gamma regression, we propose some improved estimators based on the preliminary test and Stein-type strategies to estimate the unknown parameters in a gamma regression model. These estimators are considered when it is suspected that the parameters may be restricted to a subspace of the parameter space. Two penalty estimators such as LASSO and ridge regression are also presented. An asymptotic theory for the preliminary test and Stein-type estimators is developed, and asymptotic distributional bias and asymptotic quadratic risk of the proposed estimators are obtained. Comprehensive Monte-Carlo simulation experiments are conducted. Comparisons are then made based on simulated relative efficiency to clarify the performance of the proposed estimators. Practitioners are recommended to use the positive-part Stein-type estimator since its performance is robust irrespective of the reliability of the subspace information. A real data on prostate cancer is considered to illustrate the performance of the proposed estimators. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Taylor & Francis, 2020
Keywords
Gamma regression; preliminary test estimator; shrinkage estimator; penalty estimator; asymptotic properties; Monte Carlo simulation; prostate cancer
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-50262 (URN)10.1080/00949655.2020.1795174 (DOI)000552575000001 ()2-s2.0-85088583948 (Scopus ID)PPembargo12;intsam;1458762 (Local ID)PPembargo12;intsam;1458762 (Archive number)PPembargo12;intsam;1458762 (OAI)
Available from: 2020-08-18 Created: 2020-08-18 Last updated: 2025-10-13Bibliographically approved
4. Penalty Estimators in High-Dimensional DEA with Application to Swedish Energy Markets Inspectorate Data
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Penalty Estimators in High-Dimensional DEA with Application to Swedish Energy Markets Inspectorate Data
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This paper explores various methods for estimating the regression coefficients of contextual variables in high-dimensional data using data envelopment analysis (DEA). DEA is a nonparametric method commonly used to evaluate production efficiency in decision-making units (DMUs). This study investigates the efficacy of LASSO, Elastic Net (EN), Adaptive LASSO (ALASSO), and Ridge Regression (RR) estimators for estimation in DEA. The proposed methodology is based on a data generating process (DGP) that accommodates both noise and inefficiency terms aligned with the stochastic frontier model. This methodology can be applied to both single and multiple-output cases. The performance of the penalty methods is assessed in terms of bias and mean squared error (MSE) of the estimators through an extensive Monte Carlo simulation studies. Then the comparison between penalty estimators are done considering different scenarios. The simulation findings indicate that increasing the correlation among variables generally leads to lower biases in penalty estimators. In terms of MSE, the MSE values of penalty estimators decrease as the sample size increases. ALASSO demonstrates the lowest bias in most scenarios, while RR exhibits superior performance in minimizing MSE, especially with higher correlations. The study also applies these methods to real-world data from the Swedish Energy Markets Inspectorate (SEMI), evaluating 144 electricity distribution system operators.

Keywords
Contextual variables, Data Envelopment Analysis, LASSO, Ridge Regression, Elastic Net, Adaptive LASSO
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-66501 (URN)
Note

Included in doctoral dissertation in manuscript form.

Available from: 2024-10-30 Created: 2024-10-30 Last updated: 2025-10-13

Open Access in DiVA

Kappa(2108 kB)303 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 2108 kBChecksum SHA-512
67740521c14fc73ed10c7c55f4a594ce733a1ac52fd2552347c5b0f877a3f29f6655851583d882dc05e92f20a6d2c64f8e0c845b7271a4e27837a2aca7d4e5fc
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Authority records

Mahmoudi, Akram

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Mahmoudi, Akram
By organisation
JIBS, StatisticsJIBS, Centre for Entrepreneurship and Spatial Economics (CEnSE)
Probability Theory and Statistics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 305 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

isbn
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

isbn
urn-nbn
Total: 608 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf