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A stochastic model of prion dynamics with conversion and fragmentation
Jönköping University, School of Engineering, JTH, Mathematics, Physics and Chemical Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2576-2397
Jönköping University, School of Engineering, JTH, Mathematics, Physics and Chemical Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4528-5658
Department of Applied Mathematics, University of California, Merced, USA.
2025 (English)In: Mathematical Biosciences, ISSN 0025-5564, E-ISSN 1879-3134, Vol. 387, article id 109505Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Prions are infectious proteins that, when misfolded, propagate their abnormal structure and cause degenerative diseases in humans and other mammals. The infectious units of prion diseases are aggregates of misfolded proteins, which grow by recruiting normal proteins (conversion) and break down into smaller aggregates (fragmentation).

We introduce a stochastic model describing the dynamics of a population of prion aggregates. The model is formulated as a continuous-time Markov chain that tracks both the number of aggregates and the total number of misfolded protein monomers within aggregates. We derive and solve a PDE for their joint probability generating function, establish results on population growth and mean aggregate size, and analyze how model parameters influence aggregate population dynamics.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025. Vol. 387, article id 109505
Keywords [en]
Prion dynamics, Continuous-time Markov chain, Probability generating function, Fragmentation
National Category
Mathematical sciences Biological Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-69423DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109505ISI: 001542172600001PubMedID: 40714126Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105011593012Local ID: HOA;intsam;1027475OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-69423DiVA, id: diva2:1985595
Funder
NIH (National Institutes of Health), R01-GM126548Available from: 2025-07-25 Created: 2025-07-25 Last updated: 2025-10-13Bibliographically approved

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Ghosh, ArpanOlofsson, Peter

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