Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Factors Influencing Spot and Contract Price Index Dynamics in the Swedish Road Freight Transport Sector
Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School, JIBS, Economics. Jönköping University, Jönköping International Business School, JIBS, Statistics.
2025 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This thesis explores the factors influencing the spot and contract price indices in the Swedish Road Freight Transport (RFT) sector, focusing on major haulier operational costs, RFT demand, and RFT supply-side proxies. Using monthly data from January 2019 to December 2024, first-differenced log-log OLS time series regression models are estimated, with Newey-West heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent standard errors. The results indicate that spot prices respond significantly to changes in diesel prices, vehicle costs, administrative and other costs, and industrial production, suggesting an immediate pass-through of cost changes and demand shifts to spot market pricing. Contract prices, in contrast, show no significant relationship with any of the factors. The low explanatory power of the contract price model implies that contract pricing is influenced by unobserved factors such as negotiation dynamics, contractual terms, and market structure. These findings highlight the greater short-run sensitivity of spot prices to cost and demand shocks, while contract prices remain more stable but are mainly driven by strategic considerations. This distinction has practical implications for transport buyers, suggesting that spot markets offer cost responsiveness, whereas contract markets require robust negotiation strategies to ensure long-term efficiency. The study contributes to the limited empirical research on Swedish RFT sector pricing dynamics, applying rigorous econometric methods to examine the factors influencing spot and contract rates.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. , p. 68
Keywords [en]
Time Series Analysis, First Differenced OLS Regression Model, Swedish Road Freight Transport Sector, Spot and Contract Price Index
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hj:diva-69655OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hj-69655DiVA, id: diva2:1994020
External cooperation
FläktGroup Sweden AB
Subject / course
JIBS, Economics
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2025-09-09 Created: 2025-09-01 Last updated: 2025-10-13Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(2881 kB)211 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 2881 kBChecksum SHA-512
e1d21fd73959ec66a74ca0ee273001fe09351690fa686ca72443bf1da0284bb79186ce06c872febfaeefb40ad51a62a899aa448bc3243b659b5bae31847fb79f
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Khan, Muhammad Shah Zaman
By organisation
JIBS, EconomicsJIBS, Statistics
Economics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 211 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

urn-nbn

Altmetric score

urn-nbn
Total: 712 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf